投资古玩正当其时

【好展会网  贸易投资专题】 <p>上海市工商联收藏俱乐部理事长：刘超<br /> </p> <p>如今社会上流行这样一句话，叫做：你不理财，财不理你。那么，现在我们怎么理财呢？ <br /> <br /> <br /> 其实，目前的社会，投资理财的机会很多，你可以去投资黄金和基金；也可以去投资股票和债券；更可以发挥你的聪明才智去涉足国债和外汇；当然了，如果你把钱放进银行或者去买保险，也不失为一种理性的投资方式。但是，在这八大投资热点外，是否还有第九个投资热点呢？ <br /> <br /> <br /> 笔者以为：有！那就是投资古玩艺术品。 <br /> 本世纪目前的三大投资热点是：股票、房地产和古玩艺术品。虽然前两项投资让资本者趋之若鹜，惊喜交加，但房价和股价在上上下下的波动中变化太大，变数太多，其中的甜酸苦辣非常人所能理解。然而，在收藏领域，要是这件古玩艺术品你看准了，买对了，那么，其投资价值在古玩艺术品本身的文化价值的推动下，会有相当可观的利润。如2001年，上海敬华拍卖公司的首次拍卖活动中，一款明永乐青花折枝花卉八方烛台作为拍卖图录的封面被隆重推出，经过几十轮的激烈竞标，最终以880万元成交。四年后，当此烛台出现在北京翰海拍卖公司的春拍中时，被藏家以2035万元的价格买走。一只烛台，一件古玩艺术品，投资四年后的利润达到了131%。 <br /> 由此可见，投资古玩艺术品的利润是丰厚的。 <br /> <br /> <br /> 为何如此认为呢？因为，随着经济的发展，我们现在投资古玩艺术品有着天时、地利、人和的优越条件。所谓天时，目前正逢盛世，而盛世收藏乃是一个社会繁荣昌盛的标志。我国自上世纪80年代改革开放以来，经济飞速发展，社会日益进步，人民安居乐业，自然有了收藏的大好环境。所以，20多年前发展起来的民间收藏队伍如今已有7000万之多；至于地利，则是名副其实。自古以来，上海乃是四海之通衢的交通要道，来往方便，自然是货源充足，形成了一个多元化的收藏者层次和市场，有了玩家就有市场，有市场就会有投资机会。而人和就是我们今天所强调的和谐社会之要义。一个和谐的社会必定是经济发展的社会，于是，在古玩收藏中进行投资就有了社会和经济基础。 <br /> <br /> <br /> 近两年来，据专家分析，古董投资的利润是48%，而股票的投资利润则是37%。下面我们就收藏品投资行为与投机行为的特点列表进行比较：</p> <p> <table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="700" border="1"> &nbsp; &nbsp; <tbody> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="114"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p></p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p><strong> 投 资 行 为 </strong></p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p><strong> 投 机 行 为 </strong></p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="114"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 交易目的</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 获得稳定的收益</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 在短期内获得差额利润</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="114"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 承担风险</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 比较小</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 比较大</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="114"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 决策依据</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 价值分析为主</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 市场分析为主</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="114"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 持有时间</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 比较长</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 比较短</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; </tbody> </table> </p> <p>从表中我们可以看到，投资古玩的大收益和小风险。当然，其前提是本人懂行和有行家替你掌眼。 <br /> <br /> <br /> 有着广泛收藏群体的中国随着社会的进步和经济的发展，古玩艺术品价格的增长是一种正常的现象，而且，其成交价位的继续走高也是势在必行的，所以，投资古玩正当其时。</p>
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